USSF Division 2 Playoff Race: Early September

We are nearing the end of the season and Rochester still maintains it's tenuous grip on first place, with a two point lead over Austin, but the Aztex still have three games on hand, and have a good chance to regain the top spot.   Once again, Montreal has made a late season push (and the bad teams are doing what they do best, losing) and moved up into seventh place.  Could they snatch another cup from the bottom of the playoff seeding?   Tie-breaker rules have also come into play, with Minnesota edging out Tampa Bay in head-to-head matches.  These two face each other for the last game of the season- it could be a big match.

How the race currently stands:
#1 Rochester (1st in USL, 48 points, 1.85 ppg)
#2 Vancouver (1st in NASL, 40 points, 1.60 ppg)
#3 Austin (46 points, 2.00 ppg)
#4 Portland (38 points, 1.52 ppg)
#5 Carolina (34 points, 1.42 ppg)
#6 Puerto Rico (32 points, 1.39 ppg)
#7 Montreal (31 points, 1.24 ppg)
#8 Minnesota (28 points, 1.12 ppg) by head-to-head tiebreaker

No team has been eliminated from contention, so here is the rest of the field:
#9 Tampa Bay (28 points, 1.12 ppg)
#10 Baltimore (24 points, 0.96 ppg)
#11 St. Louis (23 points, 0.96 ppg)
#12 Miami (20 points, 0.83 ppg)

Where the Timbers Stand
With a ten point lead over ninth seeded Tampa Bay, barring total collapse, the Timbers are all but assured of a playoff spot.  Portland still has four matches against winning teams, including a home and away series against sixth seeded Puerto Rico.  The away game against the Railhawks could also have important seeding implications.  It is unlikely that Portland can catch Austin or Rochester, so a fourth seed is probably the highest they can get.   Portland is 4-4-3 in away matches this year.

Portland's Remaining Games
Puerto Rico (8-7-8)
@Carolina (9-8-7)
@Puerto Rico (8-7-8)
@Baltimore (6-13-6)
@Vancouver (9-3-13)
(W-L-T in parentheses)

Know Your Tiebreakers

1. Head-to-head points (if 3-way tie, points per game versus other 2 teams)
2. Overall Goal Difference
3. Overall Goals For
4. Repeat rules 1-3 but only count road games
5. Repeat rules 1-3 but only count home games
6. Coin toss